← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Oct 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
| Cadiz win | 17% | 5.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 123.00 | 184.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 4.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.11 |
| elo | 1565.20 | 1446.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.02 | -7.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.14 | 58.29 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| league points | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 64.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.57 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -1.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.14 | 3.43 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.80 | 27.25 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |