← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Oct 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Manuel Lopez Amaya, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Numancia win | 28% | 3.44 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Franciso Regalón · Numancia |
| 20' | ⚽ | Toché · Oviedo |
| 29' | 🟨 | Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Numancia |
| 33' | 🟨 | Toché · Oviedo |
| 63' | ⚽ | Manu Del Moral · Numancia |
| 68' | ⚽ (og) | Alexander Callens · Oviedo |
| 71' | 🟨 | Lucas Torró · Oviedo |
| 78' | 🟨 | Pedro Orfila · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nando · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 123.00 | 489.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Jorge Garbajosa |
| 4.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.78 |
| elo | 1434.05 | 1495.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.84 | 10.12 |
| eye test v1 | -1.07 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.29 | 68.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| league points | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.29 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |