← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Oct 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.17 |
| Mallorca win | 28% | 3.47 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Brandon · Mallorca |
| 14' | ⚽ | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 28' | ⚽ | Joselu · Lugo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Lugo |
| 75' | ⚽ | Joselu · Lugo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Joselu · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 92.00 | 274.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 5.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.65 |
| elo | 1482.67 | 1441.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 46.03 | 8.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.57 | 57.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.83 |
| league points | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.43 | 2.86 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.80 | 26.46 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |