← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Sep 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Pedro Jesus Perez Montero, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
| Zaragoza win | 28% | 3.54 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Juan Muñoz · Zaragoza |
| 45' | ⚽ | Manu Del Moral · Numancia |
| 54' | ⚽ | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 70' | 🟨 | Erik Morán · Zaragoza |
| 77' | 🟨 | Marcelo Silva · Zaragoza |
| 79' | 🟨 | Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel Lanzarote · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 482.00 | 299.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.22 |
| elo | 1408.21 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| 1457.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.18 | 13.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.17 | 59.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.16 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.62 |
| league points | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 4.83 | 4.83 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.83 |
| skill v1 | -1.27 | -1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.83 | 4.17 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |