← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Sep 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
| Lugo win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Ramon Azeez · Almeria |
| 51' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 72' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Lugo |
| 83' | 🟨 | Brayan Perea · Lugo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ramon Azeez · Almeria |
| 85' | 🟥 | Ramon Azeez · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordi Calavera · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 54.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| 4.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.56 | — |
| elo | 1452.51 | 1481.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.19 | 48.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 64.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| league points | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 2.14 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.55 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |