← Segunda División 2016 · Tue, Sep 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Valladolid win | 33% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Joselu · Lugo |
| 20' | 🟨 | Luciano Balbi · Valladolid |
| 38' | 🟨 | André Leão · Valladolid |
| 67' | 🟨 | Rafa · Valladolid |
| 74' | 🟨 | Brayan Perea · Lugo |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ángel García · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joselu · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 81.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 4.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.83 |
| elo | 1473.97 | 1457.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.56 | 3.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.83 |
| league points | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |