← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Sep 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Francisco Manuel Arias Lopez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Mirandes win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Pedro Martin · Mirandes |
| 44' | ⚽ | Adrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nacho Martinez · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 54' | ⚽ | Iker Guarrotxena · Mirandes |
| 78' | 🟨 | Diego Aguirre · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| coach days | — | 109.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| — |
| -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.88 |
| elo | 1442.83 | 1565.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.36 | -21.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.75 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.25 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 50.25 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.75 | 3.25 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.25 | 4.50 |
| squad age | 25.33 | 30.23 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |