← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Sep 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
| Lugo win | 22% | 4.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ (og) | — · Lugo |
| 31' | 🟨 | — · Lugo |
| 35' | ⚽ | Antonio Campillo · Lugo |
| 37' | 🟨 | Javier Matilla · Elche CF |
| 80' | ⚽ | Igor Martinez · Lugo |
| 84' | 🟨 | Jordi Calavera · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 444.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| -4.00 |
| — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | — |
| elo | 1500.54 | 1451.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.74 | 23.29 |
| eye test v1 | -1.06 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.75 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.47 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.75 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.75 | 52.25 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.25 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.25 | 5.25 |
| squad age | 25.83 | 26.56 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |