← Segunda División 2016 · Fri, Sep 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 50% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
| Lugo win | 21% | 4.62 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Rodri · Cordoba |
| 42' | ⚽ | Antonio Campillo · Lugo |
| 49' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 51' | ⚽ (pen) | Rodri · Cordoba |
| 55' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 61' | ⚽ | Joselu · Lugo |
| 77' | 🟨 | Manu · Lugo |
| 77' | ⚽ | Ignasi Miquel · Lugo |
| 89' | 🟨 | Serge Leuko · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Serge Leuko · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟥 | Serge Leuko · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Juli Cerda · Cordoba |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 429.00 | 63.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Arcángel |
| -2.40 |
| — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | — |
| elo | 1501.15 | 1433.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.05 | -26.61 |
| eye test v1 | -1.46 | 0.31 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.55 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.50 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 55.50 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 5.00 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |