← Süper Lig 2017 · Fri, May 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Zorbay Kucuk, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 88% | 1.08 |
| Draw | 8% | 13.00 |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 4% | 29.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | João Pereira · Trabzonspor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Tayyip Talha Sanuç · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | İshak Doğan · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 65' | ⚽ | João Pereira · Trabzonspor |
| 79' | 🟨 | — · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 88' | ⚽ | Yusuf Yazıcı · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | João Pereira · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 9 |
| 12 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Kardemir Karabukspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Medical Park Stadyumu |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 229.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.29 |
| elo | 1597.20 | 1296.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.85 | -38.14 |
| eye test v1 | 1.07 | -1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| league points | 59.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 0.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 4.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 27.39 | 27.61 |
| state index | -0.46 | -2.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |