← Süper Lig 2017 · Mon, May 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Baris Simsek, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 79% | 1.22 |
| Draw | 14% | 6.78 |
| Kayserispor win | 7% | 14.86 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Duško Tošić · Besiktas |
| 26' | 🟨 | Şamil Çinaz · Kayserispor |
| 30' | 🟨 | Stéphane Badji · Kayserispor |
| 31' | ⚽ | Duško Tošić · Besiktas |
| 45' | ⚽ | Adriano · Besiktas |
| 61' | 🟨 | Duško Tošić · Besiktas |
| 61' | 🟥 | Duško Tošić · Besiktas |
| 85' | 🟨 | Umut Bulut · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Umut Bulut · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟥 | Umut Bulut · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| coach days | 1071.00 | 6.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.33 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.30 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1766.23 | 1507.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.64 | -25.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | -1.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.52 |
| league points | 70.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.52 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 2.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 30.27 | 29.04 |
| state index | 0.94 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.91 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |