← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Firat Aydinus, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 82% | 1.18 |
| Draw | 12% | 8.30 |
| Bursaspor win | 6% | 16.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Furkan Soyalp · Bursaspor |
| 54' | 🟨 | Mehmet Topal · Fenerbahce |
| 54' | 🟨 | Pablo Batalla · Bursaspor |
| 62' | 🟨 | Mathieu Valbuena · Fenerbahce |
| 69' | ⚽ | Furkan Soyalp · Bursaspor |
| 71' | ⚽ (og) | Moussa Sow · Fenerbahce |
| 83' | 🟥 | Titi · Bursaspor |
| 84' | 🟥 | Kubilay Kanatsızkuş · Bursaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Fernandão · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| coach days | 339.00 | 339.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.33 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.26 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1789.22 | 1465.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.03 | -1.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.58 |
| league points | 74.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.05 | 27.58 |
| state index | 1.47 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |