← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Kayserispor win | 31% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Tiago Lopes · Kayserispor |
| 16' | 🟨 | Şamil Çinaz · Kayserispor |
| 46' | ⚽ | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Emre Akbaba · Alanyaspor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Cristian Săpunaru · Kayserispor |
| 77' | ⚽ | Fernando Boldrin · Kayserispor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Umut Bulut · Kayserispor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Cristian Săpunaru · Kayserispor |
| 85' | 🟥 | Cristian Săpunaru · Kayserispor |
| 86' | ⚽ (pen) | Douglas · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Kadir Has Stadium |
| coach days | 482.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.67 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1519.39 | 1507.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.49 | 0.08 |
| eye test v1 | -1.25 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| league points | 49.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 6.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 29.40 | 27.84 |
| state index | -0.91 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | -1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |