← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Arda Kardesler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Akhisarspor win | 51% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.73 |
| Goztep win | 23% | 4.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Wallace Reis · Goztep |
| 3' | ⚽ | Muğdat Çelik · Akhisarspor |
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Nabil Ghilas · Goztep |
| 21' | 🟨 | Abdoul Sissoko · Akhisarspor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Selçuk Şahin · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Onur Ayık · Akhisarspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ömer Şişmanoğlu · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Akhisarspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Manisa 19 Mayis |
| coach days | 417.00 | 295.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 4.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1509.65 | 1460.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.49 | -24.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.65 |
| league points | 37.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.86 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.55 | 27.92 |
| state index | -1.01 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |