← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Serkan Cinar, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 73% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.30 |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 9% | 10.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Pablo Batalla · Bursaspor |
| 35' | ⚽ | Pablo Batalla · Bursaspor |
| 38' | 🟨 | İshak Doğan · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 41' | 🟨 | Moussa Sow · Bursaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Bursaspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Murat Akin · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Moussa Sow · Bursaspor |
| 60' | ⚽ | Barış Yardımcı · Bursaspor |
| 73' | 🟨 | Abdullahi Shehu · Bursaspor |
| 83' | 🟨 | Osman Çelik · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 90' | 🟥 | Luis Ibáñez · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Bogdan Stancu · Bursaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadium |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 51.00 | 324.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 3.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1329.35 | 1439.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.41 | -25.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.20 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| league points | 15.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.43 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.42 | 27.11 |
| state index | -1.84 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |