← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bulent Yildirim, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Bursaspor win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Bursaspor |
| 51' | ⚽ | Nabil Ghilas · Goztep |
| 59' | 🟨 | Mikel Agu · Bursaspor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Titi · Bursaspor |
| 79' | ⚽ | Tayfur Bingöl · Goztep |
| 80' | 🟨 | Tayfur Bingöl · Goztep |
| 82' | 🟨 | Aziz Behich · Bursaspor |
| 87' | ⚽ | Moussa Sow · Bursaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Bornova Stadyumu |
| coach days | 288.00 | 318.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.58 | 3.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1451.88 | 1447.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.61 | -25.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| league points | 40.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 27.65 |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |