← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Palabiyik, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Sivasspor win | 23% | 4.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Martin Škrtel · Fenerbahce |
| 30' | ⚽ | Aatif Chahechouhe · Fenerbahce |
| 33' | ⚽ (og) | Carl Medjani · Fenerbahce |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mattias Bjarsmyr · Sivasspor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Mehmet Ekici · Fenerbahce |
| 77' | 🟨 | Delvin N'Dinga · Sivasspor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Robinho · Sivasspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Robinho · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 409.00 | 317.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.97 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1549.96 | 1758.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.71 | 19.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.00 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.81 |
| league points | 51.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.40 | 29.37 |
| state index | -0.29 | 1.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |