← Süper Lig 2017 · Mon, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Umit Ozturk, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 60% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.35 |
| Kayserispor win | 18% | 5.41 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Roberto Soldado · Fenerbahce |
| 12' | ⚽ | Aatif Chahechouhe · Fenerbahce |
| 23' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Espinoza · Kayserispor |
| 26' | 🟨 | Hasan Ali Kaldırım · Fenerbahce |
| 44' | ⚽ | Roberto Soldado · Fenerbahce |
| 55' | 🟨 | Aatif Chahechouhe · Fenerbahce |
| 58' | ⚽ | Şener Özbayraklı · Fenerbahce |
| 64' | 🟨 | Oleksandr Kucher · Kayserispor |
| 86' | ⚽ | Giuliano · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.07 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Kadir Has Stadium |
| coach days | 456.00 | 305.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.77 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1544.88 | 1741.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.89 | -25.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.77 |
| league points | 46.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 15.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.08 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 30.22 | 29.10 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.07 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |