← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
| Bursaspor win | 26% | 3.66 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Maicon · Antalyaspor |
| 47' | 🟨 | Maicon · Antalyaspor |
| 72' | ⚽ | Deniz Kadah · Antalyaspor |
| 73' | 🟨 | Pablo Batalla · Bursaspor |
| 75' | 🟨 | William Vainqueur · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Antalya Stadyumu |
| coach days | 89.00 | 303.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1538.12 | 1476.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.06 | 0.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.99 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| league points | 35.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 14.88 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.37 | 27.88 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |