← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ozgur Yankaya, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.04 |
| Goztep win | 22% | 4.48 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Georgios Tzavellas · Alanyaspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Sabri Sarioğlu · Goztep |
| 74' | 🟨 | André Castro · Goztep |
| 76' | ⚽ | Douglas · Alanyaspor |
| 82' | ⚽ | Demba Ba · Goztep |
| 85' | 🟨 | Tanju Kayhan · Goztep |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tayfur Bingöl · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 3 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Alanya Oba Stadyumu |
| coach days | 76.00 | 260.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.28 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1509.84 | 1484.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 57.78 | 0.29 |
| eye test v1 | 1.69 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| league points | 30.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 8.92 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 6.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.83 | 28.25 |
| state index | 0.52 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.42 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |