← Süper Lig 2017 · Fri, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Arda Kardesler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Osmanlispor win | 66% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.96 |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 14% | 6.79 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Serdar Gürler · Osmanlispor |
| 25' | 🟨 | Mehmet Batdal · Osmanlispor |
| 41' | ⚽ | Mehmet Batdal · Osmanlispor |
| 47' | ⚽ | Mehmet Batdal · Osmanlispor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Tiago Pinto · Osmanlispor |
| 60' | 🟨 | — · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Andriy Bliznichenko · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Serdar Gürler · Osmanlispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 10 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Osmanlispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadium |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 15.00 | 288.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1364.77 | 1482.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.84 | 10.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.96 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.46 | 0.62 |
| league points | 15.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.80 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | -0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.54 | 29.33 |
| state index | -2.05 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | -1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |