← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Suat Arslanboga, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 77% | 1.22 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.00 |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 8% | 12.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Kardemir Karabukspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Kadir Has Stadium |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 434.00 | 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.30 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1557.48 | 1368.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.87 | -44.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 49.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.55 |
| league points | 43.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 0.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 29.10 | 27.46 |
| state index | -0.10 | -2.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |