← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Firat Aydinus, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Antalyaspor win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | André Poko · Goztep |
| 36' | 🟨 | William Vainqueur · Antalyaspor |
| 36' | ⚽ | Demba Ba · Goztep |
| 42' | 🟨 | Selçuk Şahin · Goztep |
| 54' | 🟨 | Hakan Özmert · Antalyaspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Diego Angelo · Antalyaspor |
| 66' | 🟨 | Sakıb Aytaç · Antalyaspor |
| 70' | 🟨 | Emre Güral · Antalyaspor |
| 74' | ⚽ | Demba Ba · Goztep |
| 76' | 🟨 | Rajko Rotman · Goztep |
| 80' | ⚽ | Souleymane Doukara · Antalyaspor |
| 89' | 🟥 | Ondřej Čelůstka · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Bornova Stadyumu |
| coach days | 253.00 | 69.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.30 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1474.49 | 1523.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.55 | -28.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| league points | 36.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 29.62 | 28.37 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |