← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Baris Simsek, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Osmanlispor win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Bursaspor win | 30% | 3.19 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Aminu Umar · Osmanlispor |
| 42' | 🟨 | Abdullahi Shehu · Bursaspor |
| 43' | ⚽ | Adrien Regattin · Osmanlispor |
| 48' | ⚽ | Jires Kembo-Ekoko · Bursaspor |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ceyhun Gülselam · Osmanlispor |
| 56' | 🟨 | Tiago Pinto · Osmanlispor |
| 82' | 🟨 | Adrien Regattin · Osmanlispor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Gheorghe Grozav · Bursaspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Pablo Batalla · Bursaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mehmet Güven · Osmanlispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Osmanlispor | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Osmanlı Stadyumu |
| coach days | 282.00 | 282.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1473.86 | 1473.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.14 | -11.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| league points | 25.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 6.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 30.12 | 27.80 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.02 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |