← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Arda Kardesler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 64% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| Akhisarspor win | 12% | 8.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Abdoul Sissoko · Akhisarspor |
| 14' | ⚽ | Serginho · Akhisarspor |
| 25' | 🟨 | Miguel Lopes · Akhisarspor |
| 35' | ⚽ | Yevhen Seleznyov · Akhisarspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Mustafa Yumlu · Akhisarspor |
| 57' | ⚽ | Giuliano · Fenerbahce |
| 59' | ⚽ | Daniel Larsson · Akhisarspor |
| 62' | 🟨 | Daniel Larsson · Akhisarspor |
| 67' | ⚽ | Aatif Chahechouhe · Fenerbahce |
| 71' | 🟨 | Milan Lukač · Akhisarspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| coach days | 276.00 | 368.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1755.13 | 1541.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.73 | 10.99 |
| eye test v1 | 0.60 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| league points | 51.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.79 | 29.19 |
| state index | 1.10 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |