← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Baris Simsek, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Alanyaspor win | 27% | 3.62 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Genclerbirligi |
| 53' | 🟨 | Lucas Villafanez · Alanyaspor |
| 66' | ⚽ | Mbilla Etame · Alanyaspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Luccas Claro · Genclerbirligi |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mamadou Fofana · Alanyaspor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jailton Paraiba · Genclerbirligi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stéphane Sessègnon · Genclerbirligi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Ankara 19 Mayıs Stadyumu |
| coach days | 488.00 | 62.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 4.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.29 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1561.80 | 1441.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.02 | -17.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.30 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.39 |
| league points | 31.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.12 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 8.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 27.39 | 27.05 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.30 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |