← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Serkan Cinar, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Alanyaspor win | 30% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Emre Akbaba · Alanyaspor |
| 14' | 🟨 | Ján Ďurica · Trabzonspor |
| 25' | 🟨 | Georgios Tzavellas · Alanyaspor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
| 68' | ⚽ | Burak Yılmaz · Trabzonspor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Barış Başdaş · Alanyaspor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Lucas Villafanez · Alanyaspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Douglas · Alanyaspor |
| 77' | 🟨 | Isaac Sackey · Alanyaspor |
| 77' | ⚽ | Abdülkadir Ömür · Trabzonspor |
| 85' | 🟨 | José Sosa · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Burak Yılmaz · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Onur Kıvrak · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Alanya Oba Stadyumu |
| coach days | 54.00 | 146.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.01 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1448.38 | 1633.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.74 | -26.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.42 | 0.87 |
| league points | 21.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.78 | 28.70 |
| state index | -0.64 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |