← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Feb 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Volkan Bayarslan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Akhisarspor win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | ⚽ | Mustafa Yumlu · Akhisarspor |
| 58' | ⚽ | Muğdat Çelik · Akhisarspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ergin Keleş · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 66' | 🟨 | — · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Soner Aydoğdu · Akhisarspor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Ferhat Görgülü · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 74' | ⚽ (pen) | Soner Aydoğdu · Akhisarspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Osman Çelik · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Abdoul Sissoko · Akhisarspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadium |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 140.00 | 354.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.17 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1409.61 | 1512.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.25 | -16.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| league points | 15.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.04 | 29.58 |
| state index | -1.24 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |