← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Feb 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Volkan Bayarslan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Akhisarspor win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | ⚽ | Mustafa Yumlu · Akhisarspor |
| 58' | ⚽ | Muğdat Çelik · Akhisarspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ergin Keleş · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 66' | 🟨 | — · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Soner Aydoğdu · Akhisarspor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Ferhat Görgülü · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 74' | ⚽ (pen) | Soner Aydoğdu · Akhisarspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Osman Çelik · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Abdoul Sissoko · Akhisarspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 140.00 |
| venue | Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadium |
| 354.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.71 | 2.86 |
| elo | 1371.81 | 1472.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.63 | -13.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.82 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| league points | 12.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.57 | 1.14 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | -1.03 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |