← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Feb 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Serkan Cinar, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Akhisarspor win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Bursaspor win | 30% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Mustafa Yumlu · Akhisarspor |
| 48' | 🟨 | Abdullahi Shehu · Bursaspor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Soner Aydoğdu · Akhisarspor |
| 77' | 🟨 | Serginho · Akhisarspor |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ömer Bayram · Akhisarspor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Titi · Bursaspor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Miguel Lopes · Akhisarspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mustafa Yumlu · Akhisarspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Akhisarspor | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Spor Toto Akhisar Stadyumu |
| coach days | 347.00 | 255.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1504.98 | 1484.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.12 | -28.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.55 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 24.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 29.46 | 27.06 |
| state index | -1.34 | -1.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |