← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alper Ulusoy, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.19 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 57' | 🟨 | José Sosa · Trabzonspor |
| 82' | 🟨 | Johannes Hopf · Genclerbirligi |
| 89' | 🟨 | Okay Yokuşlu · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| coach days | 466.00 | 132.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| venue | Ankara 19 Mayıs Stadyumu |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1536.19 | 1653.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.35 | -9.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.00 | 49.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.82 |
| league points | 25.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.49 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.42 | 28.38 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |