← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Feb 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Umit Ozturk, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Osmanlispor win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Kayserispor win | 29% | 3.35 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ (pen) | Deniz Türüç · Kayserispor |
| 29' | 🟨 | Serdar Gürler · Osmanlispor |
| 62' | 🟨 | Musa Çağıran · Osmanlispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Silvestre Varela · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Silviu Lung Jr. · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Osmanlispor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Osmanlı Stadyumu |
| coach days | 248.00 | 399.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 3.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1479.30 | 1553.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.13 | -24.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| league points | 21.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.96 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 6.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 29.03 | 29.14 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |