← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 63% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 14% | 7.11 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Kamal Issah · Genclerbirligi |
| 44' | 🟨 | Sergei Politevich · Genclerbirligi |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jailton Paraiba · Genclerbirligi |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Nabil Dirar · Genclerbirligi |
| 46' | ⚽ | Alper Potuk · Fenerbahce |
| 50' | 🟨 | Roberto Soldado · Fenerbahce |
| 61' | ⚽ | Nabil Dirar · Fenerbahce |
| 67' | 🟨 | Oğuz Kağan Güçtekin · Fenerbahce |
| 69' | ⚽ | Marko Milinkovic · Genclerbirligi |
| 76' | 🟨 | Nabil Dirar · Fenerbahce |
| 89' | 🟨 | Luccas Claro · Genclerbirligi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Deniz Yilmaz · Genclerbirligi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| coach days | 247.00 | 459.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1734.40 | 1529.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.27 | 20.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| league points | 41.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.09 | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.66 | 27.46 |
| state index | 1.08 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |