← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Arda Kardesler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 27% | 3.59 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadium |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 125.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.08 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1402.49 | 1473.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.56 | -10.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| league points | 12.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 4.92 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.52 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.76 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 27.39 |
| state index | -1.72 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |