← Süper Lig 2017 · Fri, Feb 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 60% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 |
| Bursaspor win | 18% | 5.54 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Adriano · Besiktas |
| 27' | 🟨 | Abdullahi Shehu · Bursaspor |
| 30' | 🟨 | Dzon Delarge · Bursaspor |
| 34' | 🟨 | Gary Medel · Besiktas |
| 37' | ⚽ (og) | Álvaro Negredo · Bursaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ricardo Quaresma · Besiktas |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dzon Delarge · Bursaspor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jires Kembo-Ekoko · Bursaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aziz Behich · Bursaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Álvaro Negredo · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu |
| coach days | 246.00 | 977.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 9.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1478.63 | 1783.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.70 | 0.48 |
| eye test v1 | -1.14 | 1.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.82 |
| league points | 26.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 62.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | 1.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 7.40 |
| squad age | 27.40 | 30.11 |
| state index | -1.23 | 1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |