← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Jan 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Umit Ozturk, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 67% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.71 |
| Goztep win | 13% | 7.65 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Aatif Chahechouhe · Fenerbahce |
| 14' | ⚽ | Fernandão · Fenerbahce |
| 44' | 🟨 | Kadu · Goztep |
| 59' | ⚽ | André Poko · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Martin Škrtel · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alper Potuk · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Selçuk Şahin · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tanju Kayhan · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | André Castro · Goztep |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Miloš Kosanović · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.66 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.55 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| coach days | 233.00 | 203.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.35 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1731.97 | 1482.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.09 | 19.11 |
| eye test v1 | 1.04 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| league points | 37.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 28.00 | 26.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.30 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.66 | 29.04 |
| state index | 1.30 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |