← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Jan 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Palabiyik, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 27% | 3.58 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 |
| venue | Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadium |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 111.00 | 445.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1423.85 | 1508.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.54 | 19.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| league points | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 27.00 | 28.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | -1.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.51 | 27.18 |
| state index | -1.06 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -1.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |