← Süper Lig 2017 · Mon, Dec 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alper Ulusoy, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 79% | 1.23 |
| Draw | 14% | 7.15 |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 7% | 13.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Kardemir Karabukspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 200.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 3.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1734.21 | 1422.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.15 | -60.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.75 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | — |
| league points | 33.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 0.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.99 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.91 | 28.20 |
| state index | 1.33 | -1.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |