← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Dec 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Akhisarspor win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Kayserispor win | 35% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Umut Bulut · Kayserispor |
| 28' | 🟨 | Aykut Çeviker · Akhisarspor |
| 56' | 🟨 | Olcan Adın · Akhisarspor |
| 75' | ⚽ | Umut Bulut · Kayserispor |
| 83' | 🟨 | Fernando Boldrin · Kayserispor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Caner Osmanpaşa · Akhisarspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Akhisarspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.05 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Manisa 19 Mayis |
| coach days | 291.00 | 350.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1555.73 | 1578.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.44 | 31.38 |
| eye test v1 | -1.48 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.79 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| league points | 22.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.94 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 0.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.57 | 29.86 |
| state index | -0.93 | 0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |