← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Dec 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 55% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.88 |
| Kayserispor win | 20% | 4.85 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Umut Bulut · Kayserispor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tiago Lopes · Kayserispor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jean-Armel Kana-Biyik · Kayserispor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Umut Bulut · Kayserispor |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Cenk Tosun · Besiktas |
| 49' | 🟨 | Tiago Lopes · Kayserispor |
| 49' | 🟥 | Tiago Lopes · Kayserispor |
| 84' | 🟨 | Anderson Talisca · Besiktas |
| 87' | 🟨 | Silviu Lung Jr. · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Kadir Has Stadium |
| coach days | 343.00 | 923.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 3.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1573.91 | 1786.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.22 | 14.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | 0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.80 |
| league points | 28.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 66.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 1.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 29.21 | 29.86 |
| state index | 0.47 | 1.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | 0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |