← Süper Lig 2017 · Fri, Dec 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Palabiyik, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Bursaspor win | 26% | 3.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Bursaspor |
| 24' | 🟨 | Martin Škrtel · Fenerbahce |
| 25' | 🟨 | Aatif Chahechouhe · Fenerbahce |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Giuliano · Fenerbahce |
| 77' | 🟨 | Aziz Behich · Bursaspor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Roberto Soldado · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu |
| coach days | 190.00 | 190.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1524.41 | 1728.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.76 | 23.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.76 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.94 | 0.58 |
| league points | 25.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.49 | 28.74 |
| state index | 0.44 | 0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |