← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Dec 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Petar Škuletić · Genclerbirligi |
| 22' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Genclerbirligi |
| 50' | 🟨 | Jailton Paraiba · Genclerbirligi |
| 56' | ⚽ | Diallo Guidileye · Genclerbirligi |
| 68' | ⚽ | Elvis Manu · Genclerbirligi |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ahmet Oğuz · Genclerbirligi |
| 80' | 🟨 | Sergei Politevich · Genclerbirligi |
| 80' | 🟨 | Muhammet Demir · Sivasspor |
| 85' | ⚽ | Elvis Manu · Genclerbirligi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Ankara 19 Mayıs Stadyumu |
| coach days | 397.00 | 277.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1488.92 | 1532.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -54.83 | -3.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| league points | 11.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.29 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.92 | 28.64 |
| state index | -1.15 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |