← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Dec 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bahattin Simsek, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Goztep win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 58' | ⚽ | Adis Jahović · Goztep |
| 59' | 🟨 | André Poko · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 67' | 🟨 | Mustapha Yatabaré · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Kadu · Goztep |
| 86' | 🟨 | Beto · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 14 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadium |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 62.00 | 154.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 3.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1444.37 | 1463.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -55.47 | -4.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.05 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 29.10 | 28.04 |
| state index | -1.16 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |