← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Nov 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mustafa Ogretmenoglu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 21% | 4.56 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Ólafur Ingi Skúlason · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 12' | ⚽ | Aziz Behich · Bursaspor |
| 17' | 🟨 | Paul Papp · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 22' | 🟨 | Cristóbal Jorquera · Bursaspor |
| 37' | 🟨 | Aziz Behich · Bursaspor |
| 37' | 🟨 | Barış Başdaş · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Barış Başdaş · Bursaspor |
| 59' | 🟨 | Cristian Tănase · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 81' | ⚽ | Mustapha Yatabaré · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 82' | 🟨 | Pablo Batalla · Bursaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Kardemir Karabukspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 178.00 |
| venue | Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu |
| 56.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.17 |
| elo | 1466.34 | 1411.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.59 | -39.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.79 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| league points | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 5.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.41 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |