← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Nov 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Palabiyik, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Trabzonspor win | 31% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Burak Yılmaz · Trabzonspor |
| 18' | 🟨 | Mattias Bjarsmyr · Sivasspor |
| 22' | 🟨 | Ján Ďurica · Trabzonspor |
| 32' | ⚽ | Muhammet Demir · Sivasspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Emre Kılınç · Sivasspor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Okay Yokuşlu · Trabzonspor |
| 83' | ⚽ | Okay Yokuşlu · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ziya Erdal · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Onur Kıvrak · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 270.00 | 56.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1541.84 | 1610.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.79 | 16.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| league points | 22.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.30 | 29.34 |
| state index | 0.09 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |