← Süper Lig 2017 · Fri, Nov 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ozgur Yankaya, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Osmanlispor win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 24% | 4.02 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Serdar Gürler · Osmanlispor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Musa Çağıran · Osmanlispor |
| 79' | ⚽ | Serdar Gürler · Osmanlispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergei Politevich · Genclerbirligi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Osmanlispor | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 176.00 | 388.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue | Osmanlı Stadyumu |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1460.79 | 1503.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.54 | -36.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| league points | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 37.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | -1.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.11 | 26.21 |
| state index | -0.29 | -1.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | -1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |