← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Nov 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Palabiyik, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Akhisarspor win | 51% | 1.93 |
| Alanyaspor win | 25% | 3.87 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Junior Fernandes · Alanyaspor |
| 20' | 🟨 | Fabrice N'Sakala · Alanyaspor |
| 35' | ⚽ | Junior Fernandes · Alanyaspor |
| 43' | 🟨 | Caner Osmanpaşa · Akhisarspor |
| 57' | ⚽ | Emre Akbaba · Alanyaspor |
| 73' | 🟨 | Georgios Tzavellas · Alanyaspor |
| 76' | ⚽ | Vagner Love · Alanyaspor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ömer Bayram · Akhisarspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Akhisarspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Manisa 19 Mayis |
| coach days | 249.00 | 308.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1617.21 | 1488.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.44 | 6.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.55 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| league points | 20.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 38.00 |
| rest days | 8.04 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | -1.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.86 | 27.01 |
| state index | 0.50 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | -1.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |