← Süper Lig 2017 · Mon, Oct 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 63% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.26 |
| Kayserispor win | 14% | 6.78 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | ⚽ | Umut Bulut · Kayserispor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| 50' | ⚽ | Roman Neustädter · Fenerbahce |
| 61' | 🟨 | Oleksandr Kucher · Kayserispor |
| 62' | ⚽ | Souza · Fenerbahce |
| 67' | 🟨 | Luís Neto · Fenerbahce |
| 68' | ⚽ (og) | Luís Neto · Kayserispor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Vincent Janssen · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Roman Neustädter · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | ⚽ | Asamoah Gyan · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| coach days | 151.00 | 302.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1710.71 | 1540.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.58 | 12.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| league points | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 7.94 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.39 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 29.18 |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.22 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |