← Süper Lig 2017 · Sun, Oct 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Bursaspor win | 28% | 3.53 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Pablo Batalla · Bursaspor |
| 59' | 🟨 | Mikel Agu · Bursaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rıdvan Şimşek · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 235.00 | 143.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue | Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 0.80 |
| -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1535.46 | 1471.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.78 | 8.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.88 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| league points | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 37.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | -1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.58 | 27.32 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -1.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |