← Süper Lig 2017 · Sat, Oct 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Suat Arslanboga, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Akhisarspor win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 18% | 5.29 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Serdar Özkan · Genclerbirligi |
| 23' | ⚽ | Uğur Çiftçi · Genclerbirligi |
| 35' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Šćekić · Genclerbirligi |
| 39' | ⚽ (pen) | Soner Aydoğdu · Akhisarspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Vedat Muriqi · Genclerbirligi |
| 50' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Genclerbirligi |
| 59' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Šćekić · Genclerbirligi |
| 59' | 🟥 | Aleksandar Šćekić · Genclerbirligi |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Paulo Henrique · Akhisarspor |
| 65' | ⚽ | Abdoul Sissoko · Akhisarspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 6 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Akhisarspor | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Manisa 19 Mayis |
| coach days | 234.00 | 354.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1634.24 | 1539.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.75 | 13.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| league points | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.97 | 26.82 |
| state index | 0.72 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |