← Süper Lig 2017 · Fri, Oct 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Firat Aydinus, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Alanyaspor win | 29% | 3.41 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Isaac Sackey · Alanyaspor |
| 41' | ⚽ | Adis Jahović · Goztep |
| 57' | 🟨 | Miloš Kosanović · Goztep |
| 57' | 🟨 | Lamine Gassama · Alanyaspor |
| 66' | ⚽ | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
| 72' | ⚽ | André Castro · Goztep |
| 74' | ⚽ | Adis Jahović · Goztep |
| 87' | ⚽ | Mbilla Etame · Alanyaspor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Emre Akbaba · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sabri Sarioğlu · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabrice N'Sakala · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Junior Fernandes · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Junior Fernandes · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Bornova Stadyumu |
| coach days | 111.00 | 292.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1468.57 | 1491.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.70 | 15.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.43 |
| league points | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.63 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.74 | 26.62 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | -1.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |